May 6, 2008...12:59 pm

Why a vote for Hillary now is (possibly) a vote for Obama later

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By all demographic profiles, I should be an Obama voter. I have a Ph.D., teach at a university in a “progressive” discipline (history) and make somewhere around $75,000 a year. I am white, but do not carry around race and class fears that people like Rev. Wright bring out in many people. But I did not vote for Obama in my primary, an early Super-Tuesday one at which time I thought of the candidates as “close” in ideas. I opted for “experience” but I had nothing against Obama except that he was unvetted and I didn’t see solid policy behind the calls for “hope” and “change.”

At the time, I thought, Obama will be ready in 8 years. He’d be a great person to take over after Hillary held the White House for 8 years. By then, he’d have been in the Senate to establish a track record; he’d have made Washington connections that are necessary to get your ideas through (like or not, that is just a fact–you can’t really be a Washington outsider and get your bills passed by Washington insiders); and he would have matured so that his policies would be solid. I didn’t want him to lose his idealism, but just to have some experience.

I like and trust Obama much less now. Like a lot of people, I was left cold by remarks like “typical white person,” but I can forgive it. I don’t think Rev. Wright is crazy, but I do think Obama’s denouncing of his pastor shows a lack of character on Obama’s part. Stand by your man. He wasn’t saying anything different. You can say you don’t agree with everything, but don’t say you’ll be with him and then toss him, as they say, under the bus. But no politician lives up to “character” scrutiny very well. Obama does need more vetting in this area, which he will have after 8 years. If he survives that scrutiny and gets a little tougher (he’s kind of thin-skinned about criticism), he could be ready in 8 years.

The real issues with Obama are the issues. He is a smart man. But because his bid for the presidency came out of the blue (even for him), his policy papers are either written by academics and not fully absorbed by him, or they are half-finished. He has no good energy policy. His healthcare plan is not as comprehensive as Clinton’s. He has not dealt with the problems of No Child Left Behind. He criticizes Hillary Clinton on her foreign policy statements as “realpolitik” and out-moded, but in fact there needs to be someone who can transition from a Bush “war on terror” to peace. Terrorists are real and won’t go away, and he has no plan other than “diplomacy.” Whatever that means in a context like this where terrorists don’t generally sit down at tables in Geneva.

The United States is in a mess. One of the worst messes it has been in since the Great Depression. The quagmire Bush has us in makes “hope” and “change” a powerful message, but you just can’t hope it will change. You need plans. Where is Obama’s plan? How will he execute it when he has no executive experience? He touts his community organizing experience, something he did post-college and before law school. He has a little, very little, legislative experience.

Younger people sometimes sneer at “experience” and think old people just don’t have a freaking clue. Academics often sneer at workers whom they admire when they write books but look down upon when they actually have to deal with one. Perhaps because I come from the working class and didn’t go to college right after high school, I have a healthy respect for working people. Obama needs to gain some of that respect, and not just for working class whites. His policies actually don’t address a lot of the needs of the black working class either. Frankly, class more than race divides America now, thanks to years of Republican rule.

I think American is ready to have a black president, and I am not suggesting we wait because America needs more time. I think Obama needs more time. (I think his wife needs more time to get used to the idea.) America has shown it is ready to “throw the bums out” but we need to bring in someone prepared to clean up the mess.

Let’s take the gas tax situation. Obama has been critical of it as no solution, but mischaracterized what Clinton is proposing, which is not merely a gas tax holiday. 

Besides using a windfall profits tax to pay for suspending the gas tax this summer, Hillary’s plan includes:

• Stopping new additions to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, be ready to release oil to counter market spikes;
• Cracking down on speculation by energy traders and market manipulation that are driving up the price of oil buy at least $20 a barrel;
• Pressuring OPEC to increase oil production, including by filing a WTO complaint against OPEC countries 

There are multi-level solutions to our problems, every one of them, and her plans includes those steps.

If you want a successful Obama presidency someday, it makes sense to wait. I know the impatient supporters of Obama will not want to hear that message, but I am a 49-year-old geezer with radical tendencies and sometimes, patience is a virtue. 

12 Comments

  • I can’t ever see myself voting for Obama, not even in 8 years, because he is completely empty. But I agree he isn’t ready now. He has more problems than most voters will acknowledge or know about, and I don’t mean innuendos like Larry Sinclair, but he’s just another Chicago pol.

  • Obama tries to make it sound like he has the college crowd all sewn up but maybe that was true a few months ago. People are defecting. I think they see him as any other politician. They won’t vote for Hillary but they won’t bother with Obama either.

  • Indiana Democrats with 34% reporting, but at 8:00 p.m. it’s still too close to call Indiana:

    1. Clinton 209,057 57%
    2. Obama 157,360 43%

    On the other hand, with no solid numbers, ABC reports it is a blowout for Obama and not at all too close to call just based on exit polls.

    Isn’t objective journalism fabulous?

  • So, if Barack gets the nomination what are you going to do? Sit it out or vote for McCain?
    When I read your opening description of Barack, it made me think of Reagan in 1980 - a lot of pretty fluff, very little substance. He did alright though, didn’t he? He knew which direction he wanted the country to go, and he listened to his so-called experts to get us there.
    Now, I absolutely HATED Reagan more than any other republican, but if Barack can do that, wouldn’t that be a GOOD thing?

  • I agree completely with your post…but duck my head waiting for the blows to come every time I say I want Clinton to be the nominee. Change is all I hear. People are willing to vote against Clinton or for change (Obama). After Indiana and North Carolina last night I wonder if it’s up to the Superdelegates now. Might that be Clinton’s last chance? I’ll support either nominee come November vs. McCain…A large part of me is ready to just see one Democrat with a united party behind them…and I think that will take a little time, once this nomination is over.

  • I won’t vote for McCain, and I am not advocating anyone do that. I think a great deal will depend on what kind of ticket the Dems come up with in Nov. if Hillary is not at the top of it (for my decision). I have been a lifelong Democrat, but I have been hung up on twice recently by the DNC when I called to question the gesture Obama made (or didn’t) at a NC Rally, despite being polite, and laughed at by the Obama campaign (it was pretty clear they knew what he did and thought it hilarious). I find that kind of behavior disgusting. But as mad as I am at the DNC and a few snotty Obama supporters, I want a Republican defeat in November.

    I honestly believe Obama will lose as badly as McGovern did. But I have been wrong before.

  • thank you for stopping by. i agree. politics is what a politician does, by definition. people are just tired of old faces. i wish i will have the time check the money trail. however, obama may not even need to buy. a bunch of phone calls may work already.

    i will be adding your site to my blogroll.

    thank you

    http://royho.wordpress.com

  • i don’t know about the organization of GP AL. GPs in the states need lots of work though. GP canada will get there soon.

    i am waiting for relevant news that i can write about the GP. will send you a link.

    thank you

    http://royho.wordpress.com

  • Well HD, good to know you are teaching…we are same gen, same demographic in a way, and we both don’t think he has the experience. There are probably way more of us, who see the big pic when it comes to our country and the larger issues.

    He is easily bought no? Bad. In your post above (very funny) the book you cited about the end of America?

    Oh, fab. Where to go? Expat. Some peaceful small place, someplace. I miss my 1970’s America. I know you know what I mean.

  • I found my paradise in New Zealand. Unfortunately my partner could not move there, so after 5 years I returned to the US. I miss NZ a lot. I did not want to become a citizen though, because that would have required me to pledge allegiance to a monarch, and I can’t do that. I am a “republican” in that sense.

  • I honestly believe Obama will lose as badly as McGovern did.

    I think the same thing.

    I am a 49-year-old geezer with radical tendencies and sometimes, patience is a virtue.

    Had my 48th last week, so I’m right there with ya :) Patience is one thing that I had a tough time learning but now that I’ve learned it, I truly understand its value. Obama isn’t ready - after all, he’s our age, too - and it’s a shame folks can’t see that.

  • Larry Sinclair has thus far failed to produce a single viable piece of evidence. Is it any wonder nobody in the mainstream media wants to risk their career and credibility covering this farce?

    Legally and morally, the burden is on Sinclair to prove his allegations, not on Obama to disprove them. Larry Sinclair knows this, but he is banking (quite literally) on the fact that the court of public opinion operates quite differently than a court of law, and isn’t making any substantial effort to prove his accusations. He knows that it’s hard to prove you DIDN’T do something, and is rallying the ignorant under this pretense to send him contributions (and any other number of other ‘fundraising’ activities of questionable legality).

    I’ve been trying to get Mr. Sinclair to response to questions on his blog (simple ones, like “If you think Obama’s phone records would prove you right, why don’t you provide your phone records, they should work just as well, right?” ), but the blog is so heavily moderated that not one single real question can get through, and apparently even his own worshipers are now having a hard time posting due to overaggressive comment deletion.

    I know several people who’ve tried to ask questions of Mr. Sinclair, but that is apparently not allowed on his blog, despite the fact that his blog clearly states “You may comment on any post, regardless of your position. However, please note that any and all abusive, threatening and vulgar comments and emails will result in your user name, email address and IP address being posted regardless and without the posters permission. You have been warned.” .

    Small wonder, huh? The guy who wants to force Obama to answer his questions will not answer anyone else’s :)

    I personally would love it if someone in the media just exposed this guy for the fraud he is. I’d watch that episode for certain, and I’m sure the advertisers would be well pleased by the number of viewers ;)

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