May 10, 2008

My Divorce a Day Later

It still hurts, this separation from my past and the realization that my political home is no longer my home. It pains me that in the year the DNC is having a primary contest between a white woman and a black man is the year I feel my party no longer has any use for me. I feel sad, but I also feel I did the right thing. And the people in the DNC who are happy to see me go can think I am a racist running dog, anti-choice, Republican, etc. but I am none of those things. I am very liberal, very pro-choice, and not a racist. I have no party home, because I can’t join the Republicans. No, I am a Democrat, pretty through and through, but my party went another way.  I always wondered why moderate Republicans didn’t quit when they saw their party becoming ruled by extremists. Now I know. It hurts to do it. I wouldn’t change my religion for anything, but a political party when it ceases to represent the principles I hold dear can’t claim my loyalty.

 

May 9, 2008

Letter to the DNC and Electoral Projection Map

Poll Analysis: Clinton Maintains Her Lead Over McCain

Clinton McCain
75.8% probability of winning 22.4% probability of winning
Mean of 279 electoral votes Mean of 259 electoral votes

Electoral College Map

On Saturday, Sen. Hillary Clinton had a 78.5% chance of beating Sen. John McCain in a general election. With three new polls weighing in today, not much has changed.

After 10,000 simulated elections, Clinton wins 7,575 times (plus she gets the 188 ties), and McCain wins 2,237 times. Clinton now has a 77.6% (75.75% + 1.88%) probability of beating McCain in a general election—one held now. McCain has a 22.4% probability of winning.

On a similar map indicating Obama’s chances, he had only a 10.8% probability with a 239 electoral mean.

Dr. Howard Dean, Chairperson

Democratic National Committee

430 Capitol St. SE

Washington, D.C. 20003

 

 

Dear Chairman Dean:

 

Today I am enclosing a copy of my voter registration change from Democrat to Independent. To do so saddens me tremendously, as I have been a Democrat for over 30 years. I was one of the many who supported you to become chair of the DNC, because in 2000 I believed the Democratic Party left Al Gore in the lurch, a legitimately elected president who would never take office. I saw it as spineless and without conviction. I expected you to change all that.

 

Instead, I find myself in 2008 increasingly alienated from the party, because the DNC seems not to like that I support Hillary Rodham Clinton.

 

I know that Senator Clinton has called for party unity, and I know she is a true Democrat. But it is also clear to me that the DNC does not care about the core values I associate with being a Democrat. I want the candidate who is:

 

  • truly for universal health care, not care just for children (parents need to be healthy too)
  • unabashedly and unequivocally pro-choice (not accepting endorsement from anti-choice senators)
  • putting Civil Rights for all people as a priority, including GLBTI people
  • getting rid of No Child Left Behind because it hurts education
  • advocating a forward looking environmental policy
  • planning the fastest way out of Iraq while winning and finishing the war in Afganistan
  • knowledgeable about foreign policy and not waiting to be educated about it by “experts”
  • ready to put “dissenters” in her cabinet and get the best advice possible
  • respectful of women, women’s rights, human rights, the working class no matter what ethnic group comprises it
  • standing on the principle of letting votes count, not merely advocating following the rules: seat Michigan and Florida!
  • taking privatization of Social Security off the table
  • planning a means for curbing crime that doesn’t wind up putting more African Americans and other minorities in jail or building more prisons (yes, Clinton, not Obama)
  • intelligent about economic policies, with multiple levels of understanding of what will work in the short term, midterm and long term
  • going to reinstate habeas corpus
  • going to appoint liberal justices to the Supreme Court
  • showing that she can take any mud slung at her, without showing weakness; and taking responsibility for successes and failures (the buck stops here!)

 

Enclosed is a projected electoral map if Senator Obama wins the nomination. He cannot win the General Election in November, in my opinion. He will be a popular, but losing candidate like George McGovern in 1972. On the enclosed projected map, the electoral votes for Sen. Obama are probably too high, because he did not win any of the big states that the analyst is awarding him, but I am giving him the benefit of the doubt.

 

We all know that the contest between Senators Clinton and Obama will come down to the automatic delegates (superdelegates). I am taking this action today to impress on the DNC the need to work with the automatic delegates to ensure that Senator Clinton is the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in the 2008 election.

 

A hard look at the facts shows that this is the only road to reclaiming the White House, restoring our country to a place of respect in the world and ensuring that Democratic Party values are once again reflected in domestic policy and on the Supreme Court.

 

 

Yours sincerely,

 

May 7, 2008

This means war! Gasp…

A funny thing happened when I opened the Los Angeles Times this morning. The headline on the primaries was neutral, with Obama winning NC and Clinton IN. Then below, in those sub-headlines, was the subtext. He wasn’t strong enough. I was a little surprised, after so many blogs had been crowing about Obama’s victory, and Obama himself had crowed a little (his right, he won big in NC). The New York Times was using words like “commanding victory,” though it also pointed out he “fell short” of beating Clinton in IN. Both papers have endorsed Clinton, so I thought I would look at some who had not.

The Chicago Tribune: “Obama, Clinton split primaries.”

All of the papers discussed Clinton’s narrow lead in Indiana and speculated about what this meant for her campaign, but with an air of…regret? Each paper noted that both candidates were holding their respective demographics.  In other words, there will be no movement, not because of Rev. Wright, or charges that her gas tax holiday is mere pandering. No movement. Thud.

I think the media is bummed out, which kind of surprises me. (I know Obama fans think the media is not kind to him, and Hillary fans think the media is not kind to her. Let’s be honest: the media are way worse to her, despite the Rev. Wright 24/7 fest.)

I was not sure what to make of it until I read SeattlePi.com:

That presents a challenge for Obama, seeking to become the nation’s first black president, who is within inches of grasping the nomination. After a big win in North Carolina and a near-miss in Indiana primaries on Tuesday, Obama is anxious for an opportunity to deliver Clinton a knockout blow.

But West Virginia, which is next up on May 13, is more likely to infuse Clinton with desperately needed oxygen.

It’s the media who need that oxygen.

So what do they do? They remind us that the last time West Virginia mattered was to John F. Kennedy. We must imagine him standing next to Bobby, their backs to us, contemplating the threat that is the Cuban Missile Crisis. Now imagine Hillary next Obama, their backs to us, contemplating the media movement crisis…

May 6, 2008

Why a vote for Hillary now is (possibly) a vote for Obama later

By all demographic profiles, I should be an Obama voter. I have a Ph.D., teach at a university in a “progressive” discipline (history) and make somewhere around $75,000 a year. I am white, but do not carry around race and class fears that people like Rev. Wright bring out in many people. But I did not vote for Obama in my primary, an early Super-Tuesday one at which time I thought of the candidates as “close” in ideas. I opted for “experience” but I had nothing against Obama except that he was unvetted and I didn’t see solid policy behind the calls for “hope” and “change.”

At the time, I thought, Obama will be ready in 8 years. He’d be a great person to take over after Hillary held the White House for 8 years. By then, he’d have been in the Senate to establish a track record; he’d have made Washington connections that are necessary to get your ideas through (like or not, that is just a fact–you can’t really be a Washington outsider and get your bills passed by Washington insiders); and he would have matured so that his policies would be solid. I didn’t want him to lose his idealism, but just to have some experience.

I like and trust Obama much less now. Like a lot of people, I was left cold by remarks like “typical white person,” but I can forgive it. I don’t think Rev. Wright is crazy, but I do think Obama’s denouncing of his pastor shows a lack of character on Obama’s part. Stand by your man. He wasn’t saying anything different. You can say you don’t agree with everything, but don’t say you’ll be with him and then toss him, as they say, under the bus. But no politician lives up to “character” scrutiny very well. Obama does need more vetting in this area, which he will have after 8 years. If he survives that scrutiny and gets a little tougher (he’s kind of thin-skinned about criticism), he could be ready in 8 years.

The real issues with Obama are the issues. He is a smart man. But because his bid for the presidency came out of the blue (even for him), his policy papers are either written by academics and not fully absorbed by him, or they are half-finished. He has no good energy policy. His healthcare plan is not as comprehensive as Clinton’s. He has not dealt with the problems of No Child Left Behind. He criticizes Hillary Clinton on her foreign policy statements as “realpolitik” and out-moded, but in fact there needs to be someone who can transition from a Bush “war on terror” to peace. Terrorists are real and won’t go away, and he has no plan other than “diplomacy.” Whatever that means in a context like this where terrorists don’t generally sit down at tables in Geneva.

The United States is in a mess. One of the worst messes it has been in since the Great Depression. The quagmire Bush has us in makes “hope” and “change” a powerful message, but you just can’t hope it will change. You need plans. Where is Obama’s plan? How will he execute it when he has no executive experience? He touts his community organizing experience, something he did post-college and before law school. He has a little, very little, legislative experience.

Younger people sometimes sneer at “experience” and think old people just don’t have a freaking clue. Academics often sneer at workers whom they admire when they write books but look down upon when they actually have to deal with one. Perhaps because I come from the working class and didn’t go to college right after high school, I have a healthy respect for working people. Obama needs to gain some of that respect, and not just for working class whites. His policies actually don’t address a lot of the needs of the black working class either. Frankly, class more than race divides America now, thanks to years of Republican rule.

I think American is ready to have a black president, and I am not suggesting we wait because America needs more time. I think Obama needs more time. (I think his wife needs more time to get used to the idea.) America has shown it is ready to “throw the bums out” but we need to bring in someone prepared to clean up the mess.

Let’s take the gas tax situation. Obama has been critical of it as no solution, but mischaracterized what Clinton is proposing, which is not merely a gas tax holiday. 

Besides using a windfall profits tax to pay for suspending the gas tax this summer, Hillary’s plan includes:

• Stopping new additions to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, be ready to release oil to counter market spikes;
• Cracking down on speculation by energy traders and market manipulation that are driving up the price of oil buy at least $20 a barrel;
• Pressuring OPEC to increase oil production, including by filing a WTO complaint against OPEC countries 

There are multi-level solutions to our problems, every one of them, and her plans includes those steps.

If you want a successful Obama presidency someday, it makes sense to wait. I know the impatient supporters of Obama will not want to hear that message, but I am a 49-year-old geezer with radical tendencies and sometimes, patience is a virtue. 

May 5, 2008

Change in the Air: Clinton and the Facebook Phenomenon

One of the bizarre things about the Obama campaign is the way in which people who have been apolitical have gravitated to him. Bizarre, but not bad necessarily. He has encouraged people to come out and vote and they have. But there’s something I have been noticing on Facebook recently: Hillary is getting more active support. There are Facebook groups for Hillary proliferating, and numbers are going up. A few months ago, Hillary’s Facebook presence was underwhelming, but no more!

I would presume this was just my wishful thinking because I support Clinton strongly, but it seems there is a little published Gallup poll that has also seen this trend, and she is strongly favored by moderate and/or conservative Democrats. In my experience as a college prof, both of these go hand in hand. Our youth are not that radical:

The most recent weekly aggregate of Gallup Poll Daily tracking finds Clinton doing just as well as Obama among voters aged 18 to 29. However, this is a sharp reversal for Clinton, who had been trailing Obama among young voters for most of March and April, so it is not clear whether the current data are an anomaly or a dramatic shift in younger voters’ preferences.

Obama Falls Short Among Conservative Democrats

Given the apparent willingness of many blacks to forsake Clinton in November if she is the Democratic Party’s nominee — either by voting for McCain or not voting at all — it may seem surprising that Clinton still outperforms Obama among Democrats (82% vs. 74%). The reason for this is Obama’s relatively poor performance among conservative Democrats.

Only 62% of Democrats who describe their political views as “conservative” choose Obama in a race between Obama and McCain. By contrast, 74% of conservative Democrats would vote for Clinton in a Clinton vs. McCain race. Obama does just as well as Clinton among liberal Democrats, and nearly as well among moderate Democrats. His great weakness is, and has been since early March, among conservative Democrats.

May 3, 2008

What Women Want

“Well behaved women seldom make history.” Laurel Thatcher Ulrich, Harvard historian —Well behaved women seldom go into politics, that bastion of male prerogative, where patriarchy still rules. Women make up 52% of the population of the United States, but only 14% of the Senate and House offices in the U.S. Congress. Of top executive offices, 6% are held by women. The women of Switzerland were not even given the vote until 1970, but now, 30% of the Swiss parliament is made up of women, a much higher ration than in the US. (Running in High Heels, film by Maryann Breschard)

It would not matter so much if women were uninterested in politics, but the facts show otherwise. Women cast more votes per capita and in absolute numbers than men. But they are not a bloc; they don’t vote by gender. Elderly women don’t vote a lot differently than elderly men. Wealthy women don’t vote a lot differently than wealthy men. Women tend to be more “liberal” on social issues, perhaps because in the way politics has been framed, social issues are “women’s issues” that a lot of men dismiss.  It is nothing short of a miracle that Hillary Clinton got health care toward the top of the campaign issues. While many Americans need it, male politicians did not give it a thought. Obama and McCain both have proposals, and you may think one of them is better than Clinton’s, but she got it on the table.

No Child Left Behind was not “women’s legislation,” and perhaps this is why it has been such a dismal failure. Clinton wants it repealed, as do many women, because they are paying attention to their children’s education. One exasperated teacher came in to talk about her MA thesis with me and told me her school had finally given up teaching the writing of term papers. “We need to teach to the test,” she said, “and there’s no time for writing something bigger than the five paragraph essay.” All children are left behind by such policies, and women know that, whatever side of the political spectrum they come from. Men saw something else in NCLB: profits from private schools that they run. Ah, well.

Love Hillary, hate Hillary, she deserves credit for getting measures on the table that men consistently ignore. While running for office on Feb. 29, 2008, she introduced legislation to reduce maternal and infant mortality rates in developing countries. The recent Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2007 was on her agenda as a major issue, but it was filibustered by Republicans.- Vote Rejected (56-42, 2 Not Voting) The Senate fell short of the sixty votes necessary to proceed to debate on H.R. 2831, a bill that effectively overturns a recent Supreme Court decision concerning pay discrimination litigation.

Again, in the midst of a presidential campaign, Clinton continued to work to make difference for families. Last week, she announced that her legislation to support vital research to improve newborn screening has been enacted into law. The president signed the Newborn Screening Saves Lives Act, which creates the Hunter Kelly Research Program at the National Institutes of Health (NIH).

When men are interested in legislation regarding reproduction, it almost always involves fetuses, not born children or mothers. Women are divided on the abortion issue, as are men, but in politics, the anti-choice legislation is almost always male-driven. And it is far from dispassionate, even though men often claim it’s women who get emotional.

Men who want to control reproductive activity often never speak of mothers. They leave the word out of speeches on purpose, because if one talks about mothers, there is a person involved other than the fetus, who by law is not yet quite a person. Women, pro-choice or pro-life, have been much saner on this issue than men and more concerned with the complexity of the issues: health, morality, ethics, financial support. Men just think if abortion ended today then all the babies would be adopted, and adoption is not controversial or complicated, right?

Love Hillary, hate Hillary, she has brought to the table issues that have not been on the political agenda as mainstream issues. She addresses all the stuff the boys care about: war, economy, immigration, etc.

So while women don’t vote in blocs, or support the same candidate (there are plenty of women who won’t vote for Hillary Clinton), women owe her something. She has changed the national debate in significant ways.

It’s interesting to hear male politicians use language about Hillary Clinton that some women don’t seem to mind. Bill O-Reilly, after interviewing Sen. Clinton and receiving emails that he was “too soft” on her, asked viewers, “What should I have done, pistol whipped her?” Pundits have suggested she be “taken out behind the barn” and the implications of that are clear. Olbermann wants her beaten, not just in the race, but from his comments one can only conclude actually beaten. Women should not stand for this. They should vote for the candidate whom they feel most represents their point of view, but women have two stakes in this election: having issues on the table that are classified as “women’s issues” and having blatant sexism thrust at one of their own sex.

In a video about hip-hop in which a former football star interviewed some young women, he posed a question to them, “Who are the hos and bitches these men are singing about?” The women uniformly answered that the hos and bitches were not them. They were other women. How did they know this? Because, they said, “We ain’t hos or bitches.” When the interviewer asked a group of men standing nearby who the hos and bitches were, they turned and pointed to the women who had just denied these songs were about them. The interviewer said, “I guess now we know.”

Sexism is about all of us, male and female. It’s an attempt to degrade women, or a specific woman, but it degrades the men who engage in it and ultimately all women. Hillary Clinton is absorbing the hate flung at women every day. And she doesn’t mind being the fall-woman.

Love Hillary, hate Hillary, she has become the “Woman” in American politics. And that’s a tough spot to be in.

[Susan Shapiro Barash examines the obstacles Hillary is encountering by becoming the first woman to go where no other woman in America has gone before in her historic campaign. "Do Women Want to See Hillary Fail?" To read this article, click here.]

 
 

 

May 2, 2008

What Hillary’s Got Going On

I love it when Hillary talks policy, which is almost always. That’s her strategy. Tell people what you are going to DO.  95% of the time I like her policies, and I am always impressed by the way she delivers them. No down at the mouth pouts when she was behind in the polls. She is always ready and prepared, traits I want in a president.

Her interview on Fox News with Bill O’Reilly gave the conservative pundit a run for his money. The thing that surprised me was that he actually seemed to be enjoying himself, debating her one-on-one and she also seemed to enjoy it. She holds her own in these fora and never shows weakness. With Olbermann, whose hatred could not be more obvious, she also held her own and was smiling the entire time.

Fifty percent (50%) of Clinton voters have a favorable opinion of Obama. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Obama voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. This is something you rarely see reported, and the impression among many is that the polarization is greater than that. (rasmussenreports.com)

 Polls showed voters drifting toward Hillary Clinton before crucial Democratic primary votes next week. Clinton has a 20-superdelegate lead, 268-248; Clinton gained four new superdelegates, while also picking up four add-on delegates from her home state of New York.

The Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. survey for two television stations in the state  of Noth Carolina showed Clinton had closed Obama’s double-digit lead to just seven points, 49-42. Reports that she “isn’t trying to win the state” are belied by the number of events she is holding there, which exceed Obama’s. He’s relying on advertising, while she is relying on face-to-face contact.

Senator Hillary Clinton leads Senator Barack Obama by five percentage points in the Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state finds Clinton attracting 46% of the vote while Obama earns 41%. With just a week to go before Election Day, 13% remain undecided.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Clinton voters say they are “certain” they will vote for her while 77% of Obama supporters say the same about their decision. Among supporters of each candidate, just 4% say there’s a good chance they will change their mind.

Nationwide, the Pew poll showed, Democratic voters now are about evenly divided, with Obama holding a statistically insignificant 47-45 margin. In late March he was up 10 points, 49-39.

The latest Gallup tracking survey had Clinton leading 49-45, after a week of showing them nearly even. Obama held a 10-percentage point margin going into Pennsylvania.

Clinton adviser Harold Ickes also sent a memo to superdelegates Thursday arguing that the polls prove she is the strongest candidate to beat McCain. Among the polls they cited was an Associated Press-Ipsos survey out this week that showed Clinton leading McCain by 9 percentage points, while Obama is virtually tied with the likely Republican nominee.

A poll released Thursday by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press showed Clinton’s lead over Obama nationally among whites who did not attend college had increased from 10 points in March to 40 points at the end of April. The fact that her messages regarding health care, No Child Left Behind, and the economy resonate with people who do the bulk of America’s industrial and service work shows that her plans make sense to a greater number of Americans.

A number of my colleagues, other college professors, have sneered at this “group” as if not having a college education makes one stupid. My brother does not have a college education, but he is plenty smart and so are the many others who lack college degrees. There are many reasons one doesn’t go to college, including opportunity and a desire to do something else. The vast majority of Americans do not go to college. I would like to see that change; Clinton is telling them it can change and will change.

For those who wish to comment, please feel free. I have not included Obama stats in here for the most part, because this is about Clinton. It’s hard to find a positive Clinton headline in the news, but if you read the articles, what you find out is very different. I have sifted through several newspapers to get these data, reported by the Associated Press, the Los Angeles Times, and others. In almost every case, the headline presented Obama in a more favorable light, while the information in the article about Clinton was actually showing positive results for her.

If you want to read about her policies, which she is always happy to talk about, and which were not thrown together by academics at the last minute, visit her campaign website: http://www.hillaryclinton.com./ She’s been thinking about these issues a long time.

April 30, 2008

Native American Voters

American Indians are a forgotten group in the political arguments of the eastern establishment. A lot of Western states would also like to pretend they don’t exist. Despite the Indian Citizenship Act of 1924, many Indians could not vote in federal elections until 1956. State elections were even more off-limits. Maine and Arizona were the last hold-outs. So will Native Americans exercise their rights to vote, and if so, for whom?

An early Native American presidential forum attracted only three candidates, when there were a great many more in the race: Bill Richardson, Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel. It was a huge disappointment to Native voters.

Hillary Clinton had an American Indian policy early on, with eleven key points that included appointing Indians to key federal departments and bureaus, and not just those limited to the narrow field of “Indian Affairs,” but to offices dealing with mainstream issues. Native Americans also hope Clinton will implement a policy that was stalled by the Bush administration, to have more control over developing federal Indian policy. Since 2006, many western Native people have been behind Hillary Clinton.

Since Obama’s entry into the race, though, middle state and eastern Native Americans especially have opened up to his candidacy. While many wish he had an explicit policy on Native Americans and was not so negative about gaming, they are open to an Obama run. Obama has recently addressed issues such as health care on the reservations and has said he will appoint an annual meeting of tribal leaders, but he didn’t explain what effect or power that meeting would have.

Some Indians remain skeptical of promises by any candidate to include them, but their experience with Bill Clinton’s administration, while not 100% positive, was better than with many other administrations.

While gaming is not the only issue that interests American Indians, who also care a lot about the economy, health care, autonomy over their lands, tribal courts, education, the environment and many other issues, it is a critical issue because it is seen as perhaps the only chance for tribes to have access to the things named above.

TAHLEQUAH DAILY PRESS

The tribal gaming industry has grown exponentially in the past few years, but not all 2008 presidential candidates are supportive.
According to a recent article in the Los Angeles Times, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., has concerns about the “moral and social cost” gaming has on smaller communities. As a state senator in his home state, Obama sometimes opposed plans to expand gambling, worrying that it could be harmful to residents of low-income communities.
On the other hand, Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., embraces the gaming industry, and has supported her state’s efforts to lure new casinos to economically struggling communities outside New York City.

McCain is never even mentioned in the Indian press as a viable candidate despite his being from Arizona, or perhaps because of it.

Obviously Native Americans cannot decide a presidential election and so as a constituency, they are often ignored. But Native concerns should be issues that all Americans care about. In a state like Indiana, they make up only .3% of registered voters, according to CNN polls. Even in Oregon, they are 1.3% of voters. Yet American Indians have swung everything from local to large elections in states like Arizona, South Dakota, New Mexico, and Washington.

Native Americans suffer from terrible discrimination, despite the image white Americans bestow upon them in films and literature and pop culture. While 1 in 9 black men will go to prison between the ages of 24 and 34, and 1 in 154 white Americans will. Native peoples, in states where they make up a larger percentage of the population, can make up 25% of inmates. Since felony convictions often result in removal of the right to vote, minority populations remain at an even bigger disadvantage than whites. Having finally received an apology from Congress this year, one that was barely covered in the press, it remains to be seen whether politicians will notice the indigenous people of North America.

Montana’s primary is June 3. While hardly anyone is watching yet, it may be an important campaign. Six percent of Montana’s voters are Native American.

Sources: http://www.missoulian.com/articles/2008/04/06/jodirave/rave09.txt

http://www.reznetnews.org/article/election-2008/two-words-obama-didn%2526%2523039%3Bt-say:-native-americans

http://www.tahlequahdailypress.com/features/local_story_028160000.html?keyword=topstory

http://http://2008central.net/2007/08/23/american-indian-presidential-forum-attracts-only-3-candidates/

http://indiancountrynews.net/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3079&Itemid=1

The book “Native Vote” is published by the Cambridge University Press. For more information please visit: www.cambridge.org/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521548717  

 

April 29, 2008

Obama: Will “Weak” be his middle name?

In my previous post, I mentioned that in political campaigns, one side will always try to tag the other with a moniker that will stick. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. People called George H.W. Bush “The Wimp.” Many have called Hillary Clinton a “Liar.” There have been monikers aimed at Senator Obama that have not stuck for most people: Messiah (close, and getting worrisome, but not for sane people), Marxist (c’mon!), racist (phooey). But now we have one: WEAK. It came up in editorial after editorial in the last few days. He won’t debate Hillary Clinton; this makes him look weak. He can’t control Rev. Wright; this makes him look weak. He can’t get the white working class vote–because he’s weak.

An early example came in 2007, but it didn’t seem like anything to worry about: “Aside from his inexperience, Barack Obama’s weakness has always been his insistence on tying his image and his campaign to a “politics of hope.” http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/07/clinton_ropeadopes_obama.html

Indeed, in Aug. 2007 there were a few references to Obama giving “weak” speeches (in Austin, for example), but a weak speech didn’t equal a weak man.

After Pennsylvania: “Obama’s weakness as a potential candidate in November may be beginning to surface.” The New Republic: http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/03/04/exit-polls-reveal-obama-s-weaknesses.aspx

A pro-Obama blogger has recently asked “Is Obama Weak?” While her answer is no, she is responding to the increasing media moniker with which he is being tagged. http://tamarika.typepad.com/mined_nuggets/2008/04/is-obama-weak.html

The New York Times went at him today, and it will keep coming. As long as he refuses to debate in Lincoln-Douglass style debates, not only will his comparisons to Lincoln continue to diminish, so will his stature as a strong man.

Is the “weak” moniker fair? A while back I started to notice what I called wimpy behavior on the part of Obama: petulance when things didn’t go his way, an unwillingness to “fight” which is what one does when one has “opponents,” etc. Some people will argue that this is precisely why they like him; he doesn’t engage in “old politics.” But he does engage in old politics, and this has been shown enough times that I don’t need to repeat it here. What he does not do is “engage” with anything that appears hostile. His appearance on Fox News was one of his first deliberate forays into hostile territory and he did not exactly “slay the dragon.” Hillary Clinton ventured onto Olbermann, though, with smiles and confidence, even though he clearly would like to do more than give her a verbal beating.

“Weak” just might be the word. I wonder what implications that has? I haven’t thought through the discourse, only noticed it.

Will the DNC put him up for November against a man who is nothing if not the antithesis of weak? Only time will tell.

April 29, 2008

Will Ping Pong Grant Hurt Obama?

Here is one more reason that it is dangerous for Democrats to put forward an unvetted candidate. In today’s LA Times, an article appeared with information of a financial relationship in which an Obama campaign contributor in Illinois received state grants that might be insinuated as legal but questionable ”kick backs.” Not a thing has been proven, and I want to emphasize this. Obama is not accused of any wrongdoing. As the candidate advocating “transparency,” though, this ping-pong deal looks less than bright and shiny.

It’s rare that a candidate has risen from such relative obscurity to a position of such prominence in so short a time, especially in politics. Obama supporters sometimes point to Abraham Lincoln as such a case. Fair enough, but Lincoln did not have the internet and 24/7 news to contend with or things like his “unstable” and highly disliked wife, Mary Todd Lincoln, might have been food for fodder. His views on slavery, which were still being formed and were sometimes inconsistent, might have made him seem unable to lead.

In this age of politics, it’s not possible to have squeaky clean candidates, because we are flawed human beings. Yes, even Senator Obama has made boo-boos. I don’t think American voters are unable to see through most of the media spin, but if something is repeated often enough, it is hard to ignore it. The mantra that Hillary is a liar is something repeated so often that when asked what she lied about, people will say “I dunno.” They might point to the Bosnia comment or to her saying she had always been a Yankee fan, but are these the kind of substantive “lies” (if they are lies at all)  that voters genuinely mean when they say she is liar. I think not. It is a media creation. George Bush the First got labeled as a “wimp.” You will still hear it. Is there any proof he is a wimp? Not really. People don’t why he got the moniker. Obama has yet to show whether he can wear a moniker with impunity. The media are trying out different ones, from the Messiah to the Marxist.

Anyway, here is the story, in part, and a link so you can read the rest. Again, my position is not that Obama has been “caught” but rather that these kinds of things need to be put to bed before he’s ready to be POTUS. We have seen what Republicans can do to a president they hate.

WASHINGTON — After an unsuccessful campaign for Congress in 2000, Illinois state Sen. Barack Obama faced serious financial pressure: numerous debts, limited cash and a law practice he had neglected for a year. Help arrived in early 2001 from a significant new legal client — a longtime political supporter.

Chicago entrepreneur Robert Blackwell Jr. paid Obama an $8,000-a-month retainer to give legal advice to his growing technology firm, Electronic Knowledge Interchange. It allowed Obama to supplement his $58,000 part-time state Senate salary for over a year with regular payments from Blackwell’s firm that eventually totaled $112,000.

A few months after receiving his final payment from EKI, Obama sent a request on state Senate letterhead urging Illinois officials to provide a $50,000 tourism promotion grant to another Blackwell company, Killerspin.

Killerspin specializes in table tennis, running tournaments nationwide and selling its own line of equipment and apparel and DVD recordings of the competitions. With support from Obama, other state officials and an Obama aide who went to work part time for Killerspin, the company eventually obtained $320,000 in state grants between 2002 and 2004 to subsidize its tournaments.

Obama’s staff said the senator advocated only for the first year’s grant — which ended up being $20,000, not $50,000. The day after Obama wrote his letter urging the awarding of the state funds, Obama’s U.S. Senate campaign received a $1,000 donation from Blackwell.

Obama’s presidential campaign rejects any suggestion that there was a connection between the legal work, the campaign contribution and the help with the grant. “Any implication that Sen. Obama would risk an ethical breach in order to secure a small grant for a pingpong tournament is nuts,” said David Axelrod, Obama’s chief political advisor.

http://www.latimes.com/news/la-na-killerspin27apr27,0,2875554.story?track=ntothtml

If you would like to see what Robert Blackwell, Jr. had to say about Sen. Obama on Feb. 14, 2008, read this:

The Real Obama By Ken Blackwell Thursday, February 14, 2008 www.townhall.com/columnists/KenBlackwell/2008/02/14/the_real_obama

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